February 2008
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Blogs beat The New York Times; Dave Winer wins 2002 bet

Link to Blogs beat The New York Times; Dave Winer wins 2002 bet

The Long Now Foundation created the Long Bets project as a fun way to encourage long-term thinking. Bet #2 was between blog pioneer Dave Winer and the New York Times Digital CEO, Martin Nisenholtz:

In a Google search of five keywords or phrases representing the top five news stories of 2007, weblogs will rank higher than the New York Times' Web site.

The winner was announced today: blogs. Congrats to Dave Winer and the blogosphere!

It's actually a hard bet to evaluate, e.g. who decides the top stories? One of the advantages of blogs is that they cover stories that the mainstream media ignores or downplays. That turned out not to matter here; blogs had 4 out of the 5 top stories selected by AP Journalists -- i.e. blogs won even on turf defined by the MSM.

Rogers Cadenhead ran a similar analysis back in December, noting that Wikipedia beat both.

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